Research
Doctoral and continuing research on how information and psychology move financial markets.
Strands
Published
Behavioural finance and information economics
Mathematical modelling of how information and psychology move prices. The doctoral strand, and the one with published output.
In preparation
Stablecoins and tokenised money
Reserve structure, redemption behaviour and the regulatory perimeter for tokenised claims on fiat.
In preparation
Compliance and artificial intelligence
Model risk, explainability and supervisory expectations where automated decisions carry regulatory consequence.
ORCID 0009-0005-3487-6582 · SSRN author page
All speaking, advisory and publication activity is undertaken in a personal capacity and is subject to prior conflict-of-interest clearance by my employer and by the boards on which I serve. Nothing here represents the views of any employer, board or association. Please allow time for clearance when inviting me.
Publications
Preprint · 20 pp. · 31.07.2026
Heuristics, Affect, Herding and Overconfidence: A Decade-Long Test of Investor Psychology Using Tesla, Inc
Whether four mechanisms known from short laboratory studies are visible in a decade-long natural experiment: Tesla's share price and public communication from the 2010 IPO to February 2021, across bull, bear and pandemic regimes.
doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7208049Industry contribution · 11.12.2025
Deepfakes, synthetic identities and the slow decay of digital trust
Contribution to Salv's FinCrime Time Machine 2026 industry predictions.
salv.comIndustry contribution · 18.12.2024
Adapting to disintermediation: AI and blockchain in compliance
Contribution to Salv's outlook on the financial crime industry for 2025.
info.salv.com